Market Analysis 29 July 2021



Anticipating price to rally to the upside we broke structure to the upside now price went inside the range to reprice so my buy zone is around 1.17820 if it doesn’t get there now fomc will take me there.


USDJPY on the daily time frame seems to us upcoming days possible downtrend. We are going to open a short position from the current price with a tight stop loss

General Market

U.S. stocks are seen opening largely higher Thursday, helped by a dovish tone from Fed Chair Jerome Powell after the U.S. central bank’s latest policy-setting meeting and an improvement in sentiment toward Chinese assets overnight.

At 7:05 AM ET (1105 GMT), the Dow Futures contract was up 145 points, or 0.4%, S&P 500 Futures traded 10 points, or 0.2%, higher, while Nasdaq 100 Futures underperformed, dropping 25 points, or 0.2%.

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady, as expected, at its latest policy-setting meeting on Wednesday, adding that economic progress had been made toward the point where it would begin reducing its monthly bond purchases.

However, Powell also cautioned that despite this progress the economy still has a long way to go before the central bank would actually adjust its policies, referencing in particular the need for further recovery in the labor market.

With this in mind, investors will keep an eye on the weekly initial jobless claims data, at 8:30 AM ET (1230 GMT), for signs of another improvement in this key metric. Additionally, looking at the broader economy, the second-quarter GDP release is due at the same time, and is expected to show annualized growth of 8.5%, some of the fastest growth seen since the end of World War II – albeit the habit of annualizing growth figures, which amplifies any change in the economy, has generated numbers that are a poor reflection of reality in recent quarters.

The second-quarter earnings season continues, with Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) stock slumping 4% premarket after the social media giant warned late Wednesday that it expects revenue growth to “decelerate significantly”. The stock had rallied hard in expectation, after strong updates from Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) and Snap (NYSE:SNAP).

PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) stock fell 4.9% premarket after the online payments system’s revenue growth missed expectations, while Ford (NYSE:F) stock soared over 4% after the auto giant reported a surprise profit in the second quarter, thanks to surging prices for scarce models.

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) tops the bill of companies reporting Thursday, after the close, while updates are also due from the likes of Merck (NYSE:MRK), Altria (NYSE:MO), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS) and Hilton Worldwide (NYSE:HLT), among others.

Also of interest will be Didi Global (NYSE:DIDI), which surged 16% after the Wall Street Journal reported that the Chinese ride-hailing company’s biggest backers could take it private in order to placate Chinese regulators, only weeks after its IPO in New York.

Elsewhere, oil prices rose Thursday, climbing to two-week highs, helped by U.S. crude supplies falling to their lowest level since January 2020, resuming their downward trend after last week’s surprise build.

Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, released Wednesday, showed that crude inventories dropped by just over 4 million barrels during the week to July 23.

At 7:05 AM ET, U.S. crude futures traded 0.2% higher at $72.52 a barrel, while the Brent contract rose 0.2% to $74.04.

Additionally, gold futures rose 1.2% to $1,821.80/oz, while EUR/USD traded 0.3% higher at 1.1873.

Written by Editor

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Market Analysis 28 July 2021


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